Lending Club: The Story of Two Models
38,577 loans · 14.6% Charged Off · 85.4% Fully Paid
Prior Model (Broken)
Recall
0.83%
9 of 1,080 minority loans caught
AUC
—
F1
—
New Model (Fixed)
Recall
60.33%
↑ 72× improvement
AUC
0.79
F1
0.4599
Grade × Charged-Off Rate
Feature Importance
Confusion Matrix Comparison
Prior Model
| Pred 0 | Pred 1 |
| Actual 0 | 36,408 | 1,080 |
| Actual 1 | 1,071 | 9 |
Recall: 0.83%
New Model
| Pred 0 | Pred 1 |
| Actual 0 | 29,880 | 7,608 |
| Actual 1 | 432 | 657 |
Recall: 60.33%